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Wendy Williamson's avatar

Below is my response to an email that I thought others might benefit from hearing too:

Hey Jim. Thanks for this. I appreciate the pushback.

You're right that the Prometheans and I share a diagnosis: we both see that the financialized economy has to give way to real production. That's also the natural outcome of collapse. Where I'm focused is the who and the how and the patterns I see. They see Trump as the hero who will execute a clean transition. I see him as a symptom of the system's contradictions—someone who wants to tear it down but can't stomach the pain. Who could?

I have no doubt that Trump and his advisors are having lively arguments. Bessent, Navarro, and the rest are smart people. But is an "orderly default" even possible, given the scale of the debt and the interconnectedness of the global financial system? Consider that the debt is almost $40 trillion and growing.

I'm not saying Trump doesn't want to finesse this. I'm saying the system doesn't care what he wants. Financialization is a pattern—it emerged from rational self-interest operating within a broken framework. It will continue until the framework breaks, or until we choose to step out of it.

As for the idea that his plan includes some kind of orderly default—maybe it does. Maybe he has a playbook we haven't seen. But that's a little "too much magic" for me right now, given the big picture. But even if he does, the question remains: who pays? The bondholders? The pension funds? The retirees? The working families? The history of financial crises suggests the losses are always socialized, never truly borne by the people who designed the system.

I'm not dismissing any possibility. But the purpose of this essay was not to review all the possibilities; it was to explain financialization through the prism of the pattern: Enantiodromia. That’s my two cents.

On Jul 12, 2026, at 5:59 PM, james howard kunstler wrote:

Wendy—

I was preoccupied with things here and got to this late.

You construct a good argument, but I think it limps a bit.

The Prometheans are proposing the same remedies as you are: returning to an economy of producing things of reral value. . . which necessarily must come at the expense of the financial buccaneers.

Terump is in a very delicate situation that (it seems) you don’t sufficiently appreciate: Indeed he does not want to preside over a disorderly crash. He wants to finesse this transformation. The part you leave out is that his [lan probably includes some kind of orderly default on the existing debt. Whether this is possible or not is the question. I must suppose he has lively arguments with Bessent, Navarro, and others about this.

Did you consider that?

Jim

james howard kunstler

“It’s All Good"

Rob (c137)'s avatar

Good article but there are a few things that don't check out if one looks at the big picture.

1)

Inflation in housing is being phrased as if its a new thing but it's been happening since the 2000s when Clinton deregulated banking, allowing them to gamble with deposits. Loans were given to people who couldn't afford them with the idiotic idea that house prices rising would help them build equity. It was a pyramid scheme and Americans and other nations fell for it.

Sadly, Americans cried more about gas prices than housing, but this is not what is making us poor. Real estate prices are.

A person who drives 30 miles to work each way, 5 days a week in a guzzling pickup that gets 20mpg uses 15 gallons a week. At $4, he pays $60 a week. Double that to $8 (which is what we saw during the Iraq war in today's dollars) and it costs $120.

So $60 extra a week which is $260 a month or $3120 a year.

That's a tiny fraction of their expenses, where many pay $3k a month just for their rent or mortgages!

2)

Keeping the banks privately owned only helped the wealthy who owned those banks. The duel and death of Hamilton was quite suspicious. He was for a central bank.

The idea of a central bank run by government makes more sense than what we had. Private banks privatize profits (that go to shareholders and executives) that could go to the people.

The Federal reserve is a bank for banks, which helps them out but not the people.

Socialize the losses, privatize the profits.

North Dakota has a state owned bank that helps the people and profits help the state. Why are we brainwashed to think that finance should be privatized?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bank_of_North_Dakota

3)

As for Trump's peace deal with Iran, how exactly is that a bad thing? Is it preferable to keep fighting a war that Israel wants and dragged us into?

Should we go back to the "glory days" of never ending wars in the middle east under Bush and Obama?

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